Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.092253 3.452463 3.842271 4.296187 4.811150 5.378270 6.051558
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.626320 3.117605 3.686927 4.398306 5.267369 6.299536 7.625685
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.295795 2.852495 3.531581 4.426827 5.584708 7.043504 9.039160
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.057667 2.652602 3.409196 4.451478 5.864869 7.736001 10.436000
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.871814 2.489705 3.303903 4.468824 6.114811 8.390610 11.833642
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.681540 2.296820 3.132496 4.367668 6.176151 8.773273 12.869822
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.548096 2.166465 3.029962 4.345141 6.335526 9.297214 14.156656
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.428689 2.043599 2.924097 4.302341 6.452394 9.758322 15.385401
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.382440 2.021632 2.960481 4.471589 6.903391 10.771342 17.611599
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.298419 1.935446 2.892010 4.469564 7.078640 11.354744 19.178949
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.216294 1.845212 2.809026 4.434801 7.192984 11.842186 20.627255
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.097705 1.689357 2.611272 4.195428 6.940041 11.675303 20.866466
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.039758 1.627582 2.561797 4.202910 7.118631 12.292076 22.665866
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.005474 1.601563 2.568340 4.305830 7.474490 13.263775 25.276852
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.960130 1.553754 2.534522 4.334372 7.696694 14.008693 27.531656
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.917951 1.508091 2.500498 4.358592 7.911193 14.758078 29.891717
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.878073 1.463467 2.464652 4.375562 8.111712 15.498023 32.327948
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.823221 1.389105 2.371094 4.276775 8.075699 15.754805 33.725185
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.784509 1.340712 2.320465 4.254775 8.189245 16.328789 35.917775
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.745883 1.290034 2.262190 4.212972 8.257630 16.812243 37.961362
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.738356 1.295357 2.307408 4.378271 8.772081 18.317429 42.702300
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.709116 1.258665 2.271096 4.376293 8.928959 19.042025 45.595437
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.677842 1.216299 2.221182 4.342342 9.012444 19.606512 48.156101